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Class notes for AAEC (STAT) 5484 & AAEC 4484 -- Applied Economic Forecasting

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AAEC (STAT) 5484 & AAEC 4484 -- Applied Economic Forecasting

Spring 2024

Periodically, I will update this document with relevant links to course notes and associated class materials.

Lecture Topic Assignments
1 Introduction to Forecasting
Introduction to R
Introduction to RMarkdown (Static)
Introduction to RMarkdown (Shinyapp -- Interactive)
HW1a. See DataCamp
Homework Solution Template
Homework Solution Template (.RMD)
2 Exploring & Visualizing Time Series
Stationary & White Noise Processes
HW2 (RMD) - Due: Feb 14, 2024
HW2 (pdf)
Univariate Models
3 Basic Forecasting Models HW3 (pdf)
HW3 (RMD)
4 Linear Time Series Regressions HW4 (pdf)
HW4 (RMD)
Exam 1 -- March 1, 2024
SPRING BREAK: March 4 -- 8, 2024
5 Time Series Decompositions: Lecture
Time Series Decompositions: R Notebook
Exam 1 -- March 29, 2024
6 Exponential Smoothing HW5 (pdf)
HW5 (RMD)
Project Proposal Due - April 5, 2024
${\color{blue}\text{(GRAD ONLY)}}$
7 ARIMA & Seasonal ARIMA Models HW6 (pdf)
HW6 (RMD)
Multivariate Models
8 VAR & SVAR Models HW7 (pdf)
HW7 (RMD)
9 Volatility Models
10 Forecast Evaluation & Combination
EXAM 2 - May 1, 2024
Final Paper DUE - May 05, 2024 12:00 NOON
${\color{blue}\text{(GRAD ONLY)}}$

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Class notes for AAEC (STAT) 5484 & AAEC 4484 -- Applied Economic Forecasting

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